In a recent national poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College, President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris are in a virtual tie heading into the final weeks of the election campaign. The poll showed Trump leading Harris by one percentage point, 48%-47%, within the margin of error. A CBS/YouGov poll also indicated a tight race in key swing states, with Harris leading narrowly in Michigan and Wisconsin and tied in Pennsylvania.
The polls suggest that Tuesday’s presidential debate could be a crucial moment in the campaign, as voters feel they need to learn more about Harris while opinions on Trump are largely set. Harris’s campaign emphasized the need for aggressive fundraising efforts, acknowledging that they are the underdogs in the race.
While Harris enjoyed a double-digit lead over Trump in terms of mental and cognitive health, and many voters disliked Trump’s comments about her, the economy and inflation emerged as major factors in voters’ support for Trump over Harris, particularly among white, non-college educated voters.
The latest poll results mirror previous surveys conducted in July, showing a close race between Trump and Harris. Polls in key swing states also consistently show a tight race, with Harris narrowly leading in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Since replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee, Harris has campaigned vigorously but limited unscripted appearances and interviews with the news media.
The upcoming debate is seen as an opportunity for Harris to provide more details about her policy plans and potentially gain an edge in the race, as any marginal boost for either candidate could be significant in such a closely contested election.
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